Another headache for retailers, US credit card delinquencies on the rise 

We’ve talked a quite a bit about rising consumer debt levels despite stagnant wage growth over the last several months. Now we’re starting to see the fallout when consumers rack up too much debt and they can’t make their monthly payments – rising delinquency rates. In our view, this makes an already challenging situation for Cash-Strapped Consumers even more so and poses an additional risk to already struggling retailers. Keep in mind, we’re already seeing rising sub-prime auto loan defaults. Taken together, this paints an ominous picture for the upcoming holiday shopping season and is a reason to think Deloitte’s retail holiday sales forecast of up 4%-4.5% year over year could be overly optimistic.

 

According to a news report in The Wall Street Journal, Capital One, Synchrony and Alliance Data Systems have all seen the rate of delinquencies among credit card holders increase as a percentage of their overall loans during the last few months. The three companies, noted the Wall Street Journal, provide credit cards to consumers with less-than-stellar credit histories. Synchrony and Alliance Data are focused on the store-branded, private label credit card market.

The Wall Street Journal stated that Capital One is seeing loans that are more than 30 days delinquent increase to 4 percent of overall loans in August. In April, that rate was at 3.5 percent, noted the report. For Synchrony, the rate increased to 4.5 percent from 4.1 percent in the same time period and 5.3 percent from 4.7 percent for Alliance Data. The Wall Street Journal said the levels are among the highest the credit card market has seen in some years. For Alliance Data, the rate is at the highest since Feb. 2011.

Source: US Credit Card Delinquencies On The Rise | PYMNTS.com

About the Author

Chris Versace, Chief Investment Officer
I'm the Chief Investment Officer of Tematica Research and editor of Tematica Investing newsletter. All of that capitalizes on my near 20 years in the investment industry, nearly all of it breaking down industries and recommending stocks. In that time, I've been ranked an All Star Analyst by Zacks Investment Research and my efforts in analyzing industries, companies and equities have been recognized by both Institutional Investor and Thomson Reuters’ StarMine Monitor. In my travels, I've covered cyclicals, tech and more, which gives me a different vantage point, one that uses not only an ecosystem or food chain perspective, but one that also examines demographics, economics, psychographics and more when formulating my investment views. The question I most often get is "Are you related to…."

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