Recent Reports

Ahead of the Easter holiday week, we have a jam packed issue as we review some of the latest economic data and breakdown the IMF’s recent downward revision for its 2019 GDP forecast. And yes, earning season is almost upon us. Before that, we have Disney’s annual Investor Day at which it will formally debut its streaming service Disney+. We also visit with Middle Class Squeeze Thematic Leader Costco Wholesale (COST) following blow out March quarter same-store sales. And eMarketer gives us reasons to be positive on Alphabet/Google as well as Thematic King Amazon. At Options+, we will continue to hold our short position in Veeco Instruments as well as our inverse call option position as earnings season gets underway.

As we close the books on the barn burning March quarter for stocks, risks remain as we head into the March quarter earnings season. A number of Thematic Leaders delivered outsized returns during the March quarter, and we recap several positions that have been in the news including Apple, Universal Display and others.

Geopolitics continue to provide an oversized degree of uncertainty as the C suite is increasingly concerned we will experience a recession before the close of 2020. With so many unknowns, focusing on what we do know reveals significant risks.

Tematica Research Membership

The Tematica Individual Membership provides thematic investing strategies, trading ideas, and analysis of the most pressing economic and market developments that drive both our thematic perspectives and investing strategies.
Financial Professionals and experienced Individual Investors that become members receive access to the Thematic Leaders List which includes the top stock in each theme, plus our top overall most thematically-positioned stock. Membership also includes the Tematica Select List which are additional trading ideas of stocks riding our 10 investment themes and regular on-going insights and commentary on the market from a thematic perspective.

We continue to recevie more signs of a slowing global economy that along with other factors looks to be setting up a rocky March quarter earnings season. We continue to think investors should have some downside protection in their holdings for at least the next several weeks.

On this episode of the Cocktail Investing Podcast, we share not only what the Fed said exiting its latest monetary policy meeting, but how and why that was very different from the last few of these meetings.

With the stock market seemingly once again ignoring the growing risks that could lead to a rocky March quarter earnings season, we are making sure subscribers have downside protection amid their holdings.

Tematica Research Context and Perspectives

The early equity market strength in 2019 has many on financial television claiming we are off to the races yet again (shock) but taking a step back and looking at both the internals of the markets and the longer-term economic and geopolitical trends, we see more signs of weakness and rising risks.

Our Investment Themes

Aging of the Population

The impact on the economy of a global demographic shift to a more senior population

DIGITAL INFRASTRUCTURE

The foundational services and technologies that enable continuous access to information, commerce, communication, and entertainment that have become a daily fact of life.

DISRUPTIVE INNOVATORS

Disruptive Innovators today span not just technology, but also biological sciences, material science, healthcare, energy, consumer and business services.

LIVING THE LIFE

Those luxury goods and services that give pleasure to the buyer while also serving as a sign of having made it and reflect a level of social standing and indulgence

Rise of the Global Middle Class

Focuses on areas around the world where rising disposable incomes are driving consumers to look for ways to improve themselves and the way they live.

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CLEAN LIVING

The growing demand for products that claim to be natural, boost health, or have a positive impact on the environment.

DIGITAL LIFESTYLE

The confluence of high-speed networks, expanding computing power, and falling storage costs have changed how consumers interact, share, shop, transact, game, pay and consume content.

GUILTY PLEASURES

Those little treats and would-be harmless vices that we as consumers like or need to have from time to time even though there may be a form of guilt associated with indulging.

MIDDLE CLASS SQUEEZE

Lower employment, increased savings rates, lack of available credit, and weak income growth have led consumers to save where they can, seeking more value for each dollar spent.

SAFETY & SECRUITY

The evolving needs across individual, cyber, corporate and homeland security as behaviors shift away from reactionary defense towards always prepared and secure.

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