THE NEW GLOBAL MIDDLE CLASS INVESTMENT THEME
Areas around the world where rising disposable incomes are driving demand for a host of products and services.
The middle-class is one of the primary engines behind consumption and domestic demand making it a key part of the domestic economic engine. And while the middle class is under pressure in the U.S. and other mature markets, according to data published by the Brookings Institute, the middle class is set to grow worldwide by 160 million people per year on average through 2030 and is expected to reach 3.2 billion by 2020 and then reach 4.9 billion by 2030. What is expected to unfold over the coming years is a significant shift in consumption dynamics that will favor the emerging economies like China, India, and larger Asia as well as Africa and several South American countries in the coming years.
Impact of the New Global Middle Class
Shifting Geography Focus
Almost 90% of the next billion entrants into the global middle class will be in Asia: 380 million Indians, 350 million Chinese, and 210 million other Asians. In comparison, on a combined basis North America and Europe are expected to account for only a fifth of the world’s middle-class population, down from more than half in 2010.
Demand for Consumer Goods
While their absolute level of wealth will remain quite low compared with that of consumers in developed countries, this group of 167 million households (close to 400 million people), will set the standard for consumption, capable of affording family cars and small luxury items.
Published Research on the New Global Middle Class Investment Theme
Hey folks, as you likely suspect we at Tematica do a lot of leg work and deep dives when developing our investment themes and refreshing our thematic mosaic. This means that in addition to scouring financial filings, company presentations, and earnings transcripts, we also chat with company management, thought leaders, and other industry movers and […]
This conversation is provided for informational purposes only and is not an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Tematica Research was compensated by a third party to conduct this interview. The information described herein is taken from sources that we believe to be reliable, but we do not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of […]
In an attack reminiscent of the Solarwinds hack, The French National Agency for the Security of Information Systems (ANSSI) recently released a report detailing actions taken by Russian hackers “Sandworm” targeting products offered by IT Monitoring system provider Centreon. The company has since responded stating that effected users were using an unsupported freeware version of […]
In a targeted phishing attack it appears hackers have manged to deploy two known pieces of malware that have proliferated throughout several state agencies. DHS, FBI and MSFT are investigating. Hackers have launched a sprawling, multifaceted cyber-attack against the state of Washington, according to two people familiar with the matter. Source: Hackers Have Infiltrated Many […]
Yesterday US investors were surprised to see the market suddenly drop around midday, the Dow falling almost 400 points at one point, with no one clear, obvious catalyst. The suspected culprit was a report of new coronavirus cases at a Beijing hospital combined with other reports of the outbreak accelerating outside of China. The coronavirus […]
Recently I touched on the several new additions to the S&P Dow Jones Dividend Aristocrats, a group of S&P 500 constituents that have increased their dividends for at least 25 years. Now, I am circling back to the latest dividend payment from an existing Aristocrat: PepsiCo (PEP) . Widely known for its products that include Pepsi, Lays, […]
The main equity indices closed mostly in the green in Asia today after China cut its 1-year loan prime rate (LPR) by ten basis points and its 5-year by five basis points. This move comes after the People’s Bank of China had earlier cut the rate on $28.65 billion worth of 1-year medium-term lending facility […]
The major equity indices in Asia bounced back from their recent slides shrugging off a growing list of companies warning over the impact of the coronavirus as all but the Shanghai composite closed in the green today. By midday, the main European equity indices were also in the green and US equity futures point to […]
Last Friday we noted traders would likely take a cautious stance heading into the long weekend that saw US equity markets closed yesterday in observation of Presidents’ Day and we were correct in our thinking as stocks gave back most of their gains to finish the day little changed. That concern proved to be on […]
One of the time-tested strategies for investors is buying companies with an increasing dividend policy. To say it is one of the most loved and most watched strategies would be something of an understatement given the incremental income it generates for investors and the $6.7 billion in assets held by ProShares S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats […]
What is Thematic Investing
Thematic investing looks to identify pain points by looking at the intersection of shifting economics, demographics, psychographics and technologies, mixed in with regulatory mandates and other forces. Such pain points result in a pronounced secular market shift that shapes and impacts behavior, forcing companies to make fundamental changes to their businesses to succeed. Read More >>
What We Do at Tematica
Tematica Research provides equity research, economic insights, and investment ideas based upon its proprietary thematic perspective of the world and financial markets. The thematic discipline utilized by Tematica across its research and economic commentary, as well as its index and portfolio construction efforts, is the culmination of the more than 20 years Chief Investment Office Chris Versace spent analyzing industries and companies. Read More >>