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Weekly Issue: Looking to Avoid the Dead Cat Bounce

Weekly Issue: Looking to Avoid the Dead Cat Bounce

The market has embraced a new round of uncertainty as US-China trade took a route few were expecting just a few weeks ago. New rounds of tariffs have amped up trade talk tensions while leading investors to once again question growth expectations for the economy and earnings. We’ll continue to focus on our thematic investing lens, the same one that led us to add Axon Enterprises to the leaderboard and its shares are up nearly 50% year to date even after the recent sell off. We discuss why we remain bullish and share what’s next to watch for Amazon and Costco Wholesale. From an options perspective, sitting on the sidelines has proven a smart move as we saw the market swing sharply the last few days. Let’s avoid a potential dead cat bounce and wait for the market to find its footing before making our next trade, potentially one in retail.

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Weekly Issue: Renewed concern over trade is weighing on the market

Weekly Issue: Renewed concern over trade is weighing on the market

This week another Art of the Deal salvo from President Trump brought volatility back in the market as US-China trade talk concerns erupted. We suspect this is part of some late stage negotiating strategy by Trump to win extra concessions from China, but we need to see how trade talks progress this week to see what happens next. Also this week, the European Union once again trimmed its 2019 growth prospects and following its March quarter earnings we are removing Del Frisco’s shares from the Thematic Leaders. We are also sitting out on the options front this week, given the market environment that could whipsaw either a long or short call option play.

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Weekly Issue: Looking to Wade Back into the Mix Next Week Amid Calmer Waters

Weekly Issue: Looking to Wade Back into the Mix Next Week Amid Calmer Waters

As the March quarter earnings season wears on, we’ve got some updates to share on several thematic leaders and select list residents. We also puzzle through the latest economic data, which despite the eye popping initial March quarter GDP print suggest the global economy is on a slowing path. With a choppy earnings market, we’re sitting out from making a new options call this week, waiting for the choppy waters to calm before putting capital to work in either long or short option positions.

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This Week’s Issue: New Position in Home Improvement Player

This Week’s Issue: New Position in Home Improvement Player

This week we go from the frying pan into the earnings season fire with 30% of the S&P 500 companies report their quarterly results. This will offer a number of thematic data points, as we illustrate with the results from Coca-Cola, Lockheed Martin, Twitter and Verizon. We also chew on the conflicting signals between the Retail Sales and Housing data for March. The answer to that leads us to add a call option position in Home Depot shares at Tematica Options+.

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Weekly Issue: The Mismatch Between The Market’s Move Higher and Declining Earnings

Weekly Issue: The Mismatch Between The Market’s Move Higher and Declining Earnings

Ahead of the Easter holiday week, we have a jam packed issue as we review some of the latest economic data and breakdown the IMF’s recent downward revision for its 2019 GDP forecast. And yes, earning season is almost upon us. Before that, we have Disney’s annual Investor Day at which it will formally debut its streaming service Disney+. We also visit with Middle Class Squeeze Thematic Leader Costco Wholesale (COST) following blow out March quarter same-store sales. And eMarketer gives us reasons to be positive on Alphabet/Google as well as Thematic King Amazon. At Options+, we will continue to hold our short position in Veeco Instruments as well as our inverse call option position as earnings season gets underway.

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Weekly Issue: Putting on Our Apron After a Barn-Burner of a March

Weekly Issue: Putting on Our Apron After a Barn-Burner of a March

As we close the books on the barn burning March quarter for stocks, risks remain as we head into the March quarter earnings season. A number of Thematic Leaders delivered outsized returns during the March quarter, and we recap several positions that have been in the news including Apple, Universal Display and others. We are adding a new position in Blue Apron shares at Tematica Options+, and recapping confirming news for our short position in Veeco Instruments.

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Weekly Issue: Adding Another Inverse ​ETF Call

Weekly Issue: Adding Another Inverse ​ETF Call

We continue to recevie more signs of a slowing global economy that along with other factors looks to be setting up a rocky March quarter earnings season. We continue to think investors should have some downside protection in their holdings for at least the next several weeks. We saw a nice pop in our SH calls last week, but given what’s likely ahead we’ll not only continue to hold them, we’re adding another inverse ETF call option position today as well.

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Weekly issue: Adding Even More Downside Protection

Weekly issue: Adding Even More Downside Protection

With the stock market seemingly once again ignoring the growing risks that could lead to a rocky March quarter earnings season, we are making sure subscribers have downside protection amid their holdings. We’re also adding an inverse ETF call position for even greater protection.

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Weekly Issue: Adding a Short Position While Taking Another Run at DFRG

Weekly Issue: Adding a Short Position While Taking Another Run at DFRG

The driver for the market so far this week has been retail and Boeing, and we tackle what’s going on with both. We’re adding a new Disruptive Innovator to the Select List and holding steady with Del Frisco shares following good earnings, but not a word on its strategic initiatives. We’re adding a short position in the shares of Veeco Instruments given recent and pronounced weakness in two of its key areas. And after being stopped out of our Del Frisco calls, we’re reloading that position today.

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Adding two Middle-class Squeeze call option positions ahead of earnings this week

Adding two Middle-class Squeeze call option positions ahead of earnings this week

Last week’s economic data confirms the global economy continues to slow, and for now, the US remains the best economy on the block. Through the first two months of 2019, the domestic stock market has been on fire even as earnings expectations and dividends continue to be cut. As earnings season fades, time to watch insider selling activity to gauge what lies ahead. Following last week’s earnings report and subsequent drop, we’re doubling down on Dycom Industries (DY) shares, and later this week Costco Wholesale (COST) reports. Ahead of those earnings, we’re adding a call option position on COST shares as well as one on Ross Stores (ROST) ones – both are positioned to benefit given the pressures sapping consumer spending power.

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