Japan, China, and the U.S. working-age populations a headwind to global growth

Japan, China, and the U.S. working-age populations a headwind to global growth

A new report from Deloitte highlights one of the downsides of our Aging of the Population theme – the simple fact that economic growth is tied to the number of working-age people in a country’s population. Given prospects for a rising working population, India is widely expected to be the driver of global growth in […]

read more »
Gallup data confirms the rising middle class in Asia is more than China & India

Gallup data confirms the rising middle class in Asia is more than China & India

Nothing better than having an organization like Gallup issue confirming data for our Rise & Fall of the Middle-Class investing theme. While most tend to understandably focus on China and India given the size of their respective populations, Gallup’s finding remind us upward economic mobility is occurring in other emerging Asian economies. This target market […]

read more »
The Tematica take on Fed hikes, balance sheet contraction and other works of creative fiction

The Tematica take on Fed hikes, balance sheet contraction and other works of creative fiction

The market reaction to the FOMC statement is that it was more hawkish than what had already been priced in. While the market was priced at a 50/50 chance for a rate hike before the end of the year, the now infamous dot-plot shows that 12 of the 16 members expect one more hike this year, with one expecting two.

read more »
Consumer debt above Great Recession levels is a headwind to spending and the economy

Consumer debt above Great Recession levels is a headwind to spending and the economy

We’ve seen the reports of rising consumer debt, and a new one confirms one aspect of our Cash-strapped Consumer investing theme —  “wage growth has been stagnant for five years for a large segment of the working populace — and that using cards is the result of the simple fact that people have to use […]

read more »
A Shocking JOLTS Report?

A Shocking JOLTS Report?

The recent employment data on top of the trend in weaker-than-expected economic data is consistent with the low-growth potential indicated by the 10-year Treasury rate. The Tematica Team is a pretty upbeat bunch, but we do our best to let the data do the talking and what it is telling us is that we are nearing a turning point in this business cycle.

read more »
Auto Sales Miss Again

Auto Sales Miss Again

While the mainstream financial media does its darndest to convince investors that the weak Q1 GDP was once again due to “seasonal” factors, the Cash-Strapped Consumer showed up again this morning as auto sales for April came in weaker than expected again, after a rough March. With about 84 percent of the industry reporting at […]

read more »
Q1 GDP Flops as Expected – now what?

Q1 GDP Flops as Expected – now what?

While the mainstream financial media is claiming first quarter results can be dismissed due to seasonal effects and sentiment remains robust, the hard data paints a very different picture with just some concentrated areas of strength.

read more »
Cocktail Investing Ep 9 – So Janet Yellen & the Fed are Data Dependent You Say?…Is the Stock Market Listening to the Hard Data?…Amazon’s Next Target – Liquor Stores and more Thematic Signals

Cocktail Investing Ep 9 – So Janet Yellen & the Fed are Data Dependent You Say?…Is the Stock Market Listening to the Hard Data?…Amazon’s Next Target – Liquor Stores and more Thematic Signals

It was quite a week that started off with winter storm Stella, a Fed interest rate increase and finished up with St. Patrick’s Day. Your resident mixologists, Chris Versace and Lenore Hawkins, were busy sharing their thoughts on all of that as well as the February Retail Sales report this week and break it all down for you on this episode of Cocktail Investing.

read more »