The Tematica take on Fed hikes, balance sheet contraction and other works of creative fiction

The Tematica take on Fed hikes, balance sheet contraction and other works of creative fiction

The market reaction to the FOMC statement is that it was more hawkish than what had already been priced in. While the market was priced at a 50/50 chance for a rate hike before the end of the year, the now infamous dot-plot shows that 12 of the 16 members expect one more hike this year, with one expecting two.

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Cocktail Investing Ep 9 – So Janet Yellen & the Fed are Data Dependent You Say?…Is the Stock Market Listening to the Hard Data?…Amazon’s Next Target – Liquor Stores and more Thematic Signals

Cocktail Investing Ep 9 – So Janet Yellen & the Fed are Data Dependent You Say?…Is the Stock Market Listening to the Hard Data?…Amazon’s Next Target – Liquor Stores and more Thematic Signals

It was quite a week that started off with winter storm Stella, a Fed interest rate increase and finished up with St. Patrick’s Day. Your resident mixologists, Chris Versace and Lenore Hawkins, were busy sharing their thoughts on all of that as well as the February Retail Sales report this week and break it all down for you on this episode of Cocktail Investing.

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Friday’s January Job Report a Blowout, But There’s More You Need to Know

Friday’s January Job Report a Blowout, But There’s More You Need to Know

This morning’s January Employment Report showed the economy added 227K  jobs in January, beating consensus expectations for 170K jobs.  This comes after the surge in January private sector jobs to 246K vs. the expected 165K reported by ADP earlier this week. Great to see some data to back up the uber-optimistic market these days, but […]

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Are you part of the shrinking middle-class? Think again…

Are you part of the shrinking middle-class? Think again…

Normally we’d say we love it when third parties come out with data that supports one of our investing themes. In the case of the Fall of our Rise & Fall of the Middle Class not so much as it means slower spending, a key engine of economic growth in the US economy. We can’t […]

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Double-Digit Premium Hikes Do Not Make for an Affordable Care Act

Double-Digit Premium Hikes Do Not Make for an Affordable Care Act

With official confirmation from the Obama Whitehouse that consumer are going to face double-digit premium hikes for healthcare, it means less disposable income for the consumer-led US economy. We have to wonder if Janet Yellen and the rest of the Fed’s FOMC has factored this into their forecast and interest rate hike decisions… Premiums will go […]

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More Middle Class Dollars Going to Health Care Costs

More Middle Class Dollars Going to Health Care Costs

While Washington continues to talk up the improving economy, the reality is rising health care costs are taking a bigger bite out of consumer wallets, forcing changes to consumer spending habits. In other words, yet another reason for the continued Cash-strapped Consumer mentality among the domestic middle class. The other shoe is what rising out-of-pocket health-care […]

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As the OECD cuts U.S. economic forecast again, it calls on the debt rattled U.S. to step up spending

As the OECD cuts U.S. economic forecast again, it calls on the debt rattled U.S. to step up spending

As we’ve learned, shovel ready projects are like unicorns – they sound great, but few have ever seen them. With the US National Debt hovering at $19.3 trillion and Gross Debt to GDP at 105.2% per USDebtClock.org (the scariest page on the Internet), the OECD’s call “government in the US to step up spending is bound […]

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