Weekly Issue: The Changing Mood of the Market

Weekly Issue: The Changing Mood of the Market

The stock market continues to grapple with several headwinds across the geopolitical, economic and economic landscapes. Near-term the changing market mood will be challenging, but we continue to receive favorable signals that confirm our thematic approach.

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Rising consumer credit card debt to be a headwind to GDP in 2018

We are starting to get not only holiday sales results from the likes of Kohl’s (KSS) and others, but also December same-store-sales results from Tematica Investing Select List resident Costco Wholesale (COST) and its retail brethren. Thus far the results are positive and in some cases much better than expected, but when we see we […]

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Growing focus on Amazon’s private label potential

Growing focus on Amazon’s private label potential

During the summer, we here at Tematica spoke at length on the growing number of private label products and brands at Amazon (AMZN). Having seen the strategy work at a number of other retailers, like Costco Wholesale (COST), Kohl’s (KSS), Wal-Mart (WMT) and even JC Penny (JCP), we see it as “expected” that Amazon would […]

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As earnings move into the fast lane, things are likely to get bumpier

As earnings move into the fast lane, things are likely to get bumpier

We have been talking about volatility for several weeks, and while we take solace in knowing that the herd is catching up, we’re not exactly thrilled the latest data suggests there is more revising to be done. With market volatility picking up as earnings velocity takes off, we are keeping our inverse ETF position intact, maintaining our short bias on two positions and scaling into another position.

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The Data Says Steady as She Goes

The Data Says Steady as She Goes

With the herd taking a bullish view — despite the hard data we’ve been getting that calls for a rest in expectations for both 2017 earnings and GDP forecasts — we’ll continue to stay the course, which demands protective measures while we look for opportunities for investments.

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Adding more protection, but also taking advantage of YouTube’s misfortune

Adding more protection, but also taking advantage of YouTube’s misfortune

As the markets get bumpy, we not only add another protective position, but we also add a one new option call in this main Connected Society player. 

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As the market mood turns sour, we continue to favor our short positions

As the market mood turns sour, we continue to favor our short positions

With the mood of investors starts to turn sour as everyone realizes the Trump policies will take some time to implement — if at all — we continue to favor our short positions.

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The Fed Hikes Rates, But We’re Positioning for the Coming Fallout

The Fed Hikes Rates, But We’re Positioning for the Coming Fallout

The Fed’s inflation-focused rate hike yesterday is poised to crimp consumer spending at the margin and hit an auto market that is already starting to deal with an aging demand cycle.

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Tematica’s Take on the February Jobs Report, and What It Means for the Fed and Stocks

Tematica’s Take on the February Jobs Report, and What It Means for the Fed and Stocks

The February Jobs Report showed job creation and wage growth moving in the right direction, and clears the way for the Fed to boost rates next week at its next FOMC meeting.

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January Retail Sales – Department Store Pain vs. E-tailing Gains

January Retail Sales – Department Store Pain vs. E-tailing Gains

Donning our thematic hats and looking at the January report, we find continued support for the accelerating shift toward digital commerce in the January Retail Sales Report.

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